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Import gains ease in '03

8% increase compares to 14.3% in 2002

By Brian Carroll -- Furniture Today, April 30, 2004

HIGH POINT—With 2004 promising a wild ride in world trade, figures for 2003 show the U.S. appetite for imported furniture still is growing, but not at the double-digit rate that characterized the previous several years.

Imports rose 8% in 2003 to $15.6 billion, a slowdown compared to the 2002 gain of 14.3%. Stubbornly sluggish retail conditions and uncertainty about U.S. tariffs proposed for Chinese-made wood bedroom furniture are likely contributors to the pullback in import expansion.

Growth in Chinese-made furniture once again outpaced the world. The U.S. bought $6.8 billion of Chinese product last year, up 19% from 2002. More than 43 cents of every U.S. dollar spent on imported furniture in 2003 went to China, up from 40 cents in 2002 and 33 cents in 2001.

This fast-growth track is unlikely to continue, particularly if a group of some 30 U.S. furniture makers succeeds with its petition to impose tariffs on Chinese wood bedroom furniture.

A decision on antidumping tariffs, which as proposed could range as high as 440%, is expected by June 17. The U.S. manufacturers accuse Chinese producers of selling below cost.

For 2003, however, China again was the big winner and almost single-handedly accounted for the 8% growth in total U.S. furniture imports. The global total rose about $1.2 billion, with China's gain at $1.1 billion.

As an illustration of China's burgeoning role in world furniture manufacturing, the Shenzhen Furniture Assn. reported to the Xinhua news service that its members' furniture sales grew 52% in 2003 to total $3 billion, with nearly half the total exported.

China's rapid rise is blamed for the loss of thousands of U.S. manufacturing jobs. The U.S. Department of Labor estimates the U.S. furniture industry has lost 34,700 jobs since 2000, about 28% of the total workforce.

Imports of wood bedroom furniture from all countries, the second-largest import category for the United States, grew 16% in 2003 to total $1.6 billion. China represented 47% of the category's total at $764 million, up 46% from 2002's $524 million.

Perhaps signaling producers' preparation for tariffs, wood bedroom saw sharp increases in the amounts imported from Malaysia (up 50% for a $56 million total), Vietnam (up 283% for an import total of $22 million) and Thailand (up 13% to $19 million).

Ethan Allen's chairman, Farooq Kathwari, said last month that production is moving to Vietnam, Malaysia and the Philippines and away from China in part because of the proposed tariffs.

"I don't think (tariffs are) going to stop the flow of products coming into the United States," Kathwari told the Reuters Consumer Products and Retail Summit in New York.

Ethan Allen, which makes 70% of its furniture in the United States, has maintained a neutral stance on the tariffs, in part due to its retail presence in China in partnership with Markor.

Vietnam's rise in prominence is plainly visible in the import numbers. Poised to crack the Top 10 source countries this year, Vietnam sent 128% more furniture to the United States last year than in 2002, a total of $167 million, putting the country at No. 11.

For domestic producers already weary of battling China's roughly 30% pricing edge in labor and production costs, Vietnam poses a threat, particularly with big retailers getting larger shares of their product assortments directly from overseas factories.

The United States' second-largest source country for the past five years, Canada, was flat in 2003 at $2.2 billion. Canadian exports to the United States also were flat in 2002.

No. 3 Italy saw a 2% increase to $1.3 billion in 2003, a more measured pace than 2002's 11% jump. No. 4 Mexico also recorded a modest increase, sending 4% more furniture northward last year compared with 2002, for a total of $848.6 million.

And No. 5 Taiwan, which has tumbled as China has climbed, sold 13% less furniture to the United States last year, a total of $517 million.

Other than China, the only Top 10 country to see a double-digit increase was No. 9 Brazil, up 19% to $321 million. The increase comes on the heels of 2002's remarkable 38% expansion over 2001.

The Philippines continues to struggle, seeing U.S. demand dip 12% in 2003 to $186 million.

Indonesia's furniture exports to the United States slipped 3% in 2003 and likely will decline further this year.

The Assn. of Indonesian Furniture and Wood Products Manufacturers has predicted a $300 million decline in exports because of tighter logging regulations and resulting wood shortages.

Imports
Leading sources of U.S. imported household furniture and principal products, Jan.-Dec. 2003
in millions of dollars
2003 2002 revised % change from 2002
China $6,847.5 $5,771.2 19%
Misc. wood furniture 1,708.1 1,434.8 19
Wood bedroom furniture 764.1 523.8 46
Metal household furniture 502.2 617.2 -19
Metal outdoor seats with textile covered cushions¹ 480.4 420.5 14
Wood beds 398.6 293.6 36
Canada $2,204.0 $2,202.6 0%
Misc. wood furniture 549.6 557.9 -1
Wood bedroom furniture 321.0 328.5 -2
Wood furniture parts 197.4 208.9 -5
Upholstered seats, metal frame¹ 150.3 143.1 5
Upholstered seats, wood frame¹ 142.5 137.9 3
Italy $1,335.5 $1,308.6 2%
Upholstered seats,wood frame¹ 418.5 401.6 4
Misc. wood furniture 177.6 185.8 -4
Upholstered chairs, wood frame 143.3 131.3 9
Wood bedroom furniture 121.3 136.9 -11
Leather for upholstery 76.1 85.9 -11
Mexico $848.6 $819.3 4%
Upholstered seats, wood frame¹ 223.0 190.7 17
Misc. wood furniture 156.2 158.2 -1
Wood bedroom furniture 80.6 100.9 -20
Wood furniture parts 67.4 65.5 3
Upholstered seats, metal frame¹ 50.2 41.9 20
Taiwan $516.5 $595.9 -13%
Misc. wood furniture 101.4 125.4 -19
Metal furniture & parts 62.7 34.1 84
Upholstered seats, metal frame¹ 51.9 44.0 18
Metal furniture parts 42.2 34.7 22
Metal household furniture 39.0 78.6 -50
Indonesia $509.4 $527.4 -3%
Misc. wood furniture 197.3 194.8 1
Wood bedroom furniture 72.1 70.6 2
Wood beds 52.7 58.5 -10
Wood chairs 29.7 31.5 -6
Teak chairs, non-upholstered 26.8 24.4 10
Malaysia $507.7 $475.0 7%
Misc. wood furniture 143.8 140.0 3
Wood chairs 77.9 80.8 -4
Wood bedroom furniture 55.6 37.1 50
Wood dining tables 47.4 53.6 -12
Wood furniture parts 40.4 40.8 -1
Thailand $375.2 $362.2 4%
Misc. wood furniture 180.0 164.7 9
Wood chairs 36.9 35.6 4
Wood kitchen furniture² 19.0 25.6 -26
Wood bedroom furniture 18.5 16.4 13
Wood dining tables 15.7 21.9 -28
Brazil $320.8 $268.7 19%
Misc. wood furniture 68.4 65.4 4
Leather for upholstery 62.1 43.5 43
Wood bedroom furniture 54.2 54.5 -1
Wood beds 40.1 30.6 31
Upholstered seats, wood frame¹ 27.0 11.5 135
Philippines $185.9 $212.2 -12%
Misc. wood furniture 75.5 73.9 2
Rattan seats¹ 21.4 20.1 6
Rattan furniture 16.9 20.6 -18
Metal household furniture 10.5 28.5 -63
Furniture of other materials 10.4 11.7 -11
WORLD TOTAL $15,610.4 $14,388.5 8%
1. A "seat" is any product for sitting that is not a "chair."
2. Wood kitchen furniture does not include cabinets for permanent installation.
Source: U.S. Customs Service, U.S. Census Bureau, U.S. International Trade Commission.
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